Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.039281 0.045854 0.053087 0.061621 0.071402 0.082245 0.095161
2025-06-22 0.029451 0.038037 0.048368 0.061657 0.078232 0.098157 0.123850
2025-06-29 0.022278 0.031469 0.043431 0.060010 0.082242 0.110854 0.150261
2025-07-06 0.017610 0.026946 0.039971 0.059244 0.086758 0.124291 0.178954
2025-07-13 0.015344 0.025176 0.039744 0.062545 0.096872 0.146049 0.221077
2025-07-20 0.013337 0.023336 0.038992 0.064773 0.105483 0.166407 0.263258
2025-07-27 0.011006 0.020500 0.036182 0.063296 0.108100 0.177968 0.293401
2025-08-03 0.009321 0.018406 0.034173 0.062687 0.111801 0.191300 0.327286
2025-08-10 0.007749 0.016202 0.031596 0.060671 0.112779 0.200178 0.354672
2025-08-17 0.006536 0.014434 0.029492 0.059119 0.114232 0.209778 0.383891
2025-08-24 0.005717 0.013283 0.028334 0.059083 0.118263 0.223988 0.422024
2025-08-31 0.004878 0.011932 0.026570 0.057621 0.119425 0.233151 0.451992
2025-09-07 0.004552 0.011655 0.026965 0.060535 0.129363 0.259332 0.515367
2025-09-14 0.004005 0.010776 0.025971 0.060490 0.133514 0.275218 0.561334
2025-09-21 0.003418 0.009678 0.024328 0.058834 0.134201 0.284550 0.595760
2025-09-28 0.002978 0.008857 0.023172 0.058064 0.136601 0.297380 0.637985
2025-10-05 0.002836 0.008785 0.023757 0.061296 0.147896 0.328959 0.719832
2025-10-12 0.002645 0.008542 0.023888 0.063478 0.157103 0.357037 0.796856
2025-10-19 0.002295 0.007772 0.022577 0.062027 0.157957 0.367731 0.839003
2025-10-26 0.002030 0.007194 0.021668 0.061428 0.160685 0.382605 0.891044
2025-11-02 0.001744 0.006487 0.020293 0.059448 0.159897 0.389700 0.926969
2025-11-09 0.001515 0.005903 0.019158 0.057926 0.160020 0.398777 0.967860
2025-11-16 0.001363 0.005545 0.018607 0.057890 0.163816 0.416475 1.029190